[Poll] Predict the 1st week sales of Chance no Junban!

[Masa]

Predict the 1st week sales of AKB48's new single Chance no Junban!

[Anariel]

500k

[SomethingWild]

Yeah, I'm thinking 400~550...

December is an expensive month and there have been a lot of expensive akb releases lately (concert dvd box, psp game, etc). I think that'll hurt the sales somewhat.

[maliciel]

A million.

[fullshield]

hmm.. i think 500k would be nice

[nicander]

600k

[Blu-Cherri]

600k, NINKI polls imply it's more popular AND it has 3 versions rather than just 2(well and theatre of course)

[Masa]

I say 500k since the single doesn't seem to have as much hype as Beginner. Chance no Junban will probably end up doing Ponytail numbers...

[atskv9]

500k just cause the Chance no Junban isn't baller status which is ultimately what we're gonna hear the most per single. This however hasn't stopped wota before

[rtpaus3178]

i want them to achieve their fourth consecutive single selling over 500K.
500K is my vote.

[Amplifier]

500k or bust

[cromartiedropout]

Yeah, I'm thinking 500K as well.  The fact that it doesn't have the normal all-star senbatsu plus it's so close to Christmas, I doubt it'll do as well as Beginner.  It IS an AKB release though, so it'll still do pretty damn well.

[z3144228]

400K at most

[clockface]

900k
Just following the trend, like those banks did during the housing bubble.

[Meania]

I reckon about 500k -- they've been doing well so 400k would probably be the worst they could do with their fan base-- I don't think this single will be too popular as the top girls aren't featured overly and you may only buy the single of your favourite/favourite member's team and the songs weren't as edgey or as shocking as Beginner and Heavy Rotation before it, but as there are 3 versions with different team songs I could see people buying all versions which will hopefully support sales if the single isn't popular overall.

Though I feel like their 20th single could sell over a mil easily if the songs are good!!~~

[jafeijai]

I'm gonna go with 600K here; the past singles of 2010 have all topped 500K and I'm hoping for the same for this one just to round out this year. Realistically though, I doubt this will go all too much higher than 600K, what with the lack of the usual front girls + completely new faces in the senbatsu.