[Poll] How many AKB48 members will pass the Election

[z3144228]

The 4th Election will have 64 seats
16 for each team, team 1, 2, 3, 4

and including SKE48 NMB48 HKT48 members total of more than 200 girls

The question is how many AKB48 will make into the last 64? 

[SomethingWild]

Updating my old guess:

・SKE48: Rena, Jurina, Masana, Akarin, Shawako + hoping for Kumi, Anna, Manatsu and Kanon probably have a shot too.. maybe even more = ~9
・NMB48: Sayaka, Milky + Others?= ~3 or 4?
・HKT48: Kodama Haruka for sure = ~1

14/64 = ~21% Non-AKB

That means around 45~50 spots for AKB48 members, so I'll go for option 41-48.

[XD_Monster_XD]

41-48 or 49-56 I'm pretty certain bout these two

[SomethingWild]

http://forum.jphip.com/index.php?topic=32352.msg1044258#msg1044258

Color coded for easy calculations:
SKE48 = 17
NMB48 = 5
HKT48 = 1
Total: 23

AKB48 = 64 - 23 = 41

Definitely more SKE48 than expected!
The HKT girl is not Kodama Haruka 

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Actually Kodama isn't that popular at all, not even top 3.

[SomethingWild]

64 - 21 = 43

67.2% are AKB48 member, so around 2/3!