[Event] The 3rd Senbatsu Election

[crazywota]

OMFG, GO TAKAMINA!!!

and NyanNyan what are you doing on 10th????  *off to rob a bank* kojipa needs more vote 

[carenduna]

I'll be sending my vote in as soon as I can.... Harugon needs to get to Senbatsu!

[SomethingWild]

08. Itano Tomomi

Let's try to make sense of this!

- Tomochin fangirls don't vote? Sure, they like Tomo, but why would they care about some election?
- Tomochin's bad guy character on Majisuka Gakuen backfired? She switched schools, while loyalty is valued in Japanese society?
- Media overkill? Singles, CMs, Fashion, Magazines, etc?
- Plot by Aki-P to make the Tomochin fans buy more CDs?

[Datalanche]

^ I've felt that lately her wota standing might be in peril. She's starting to get really into fashion and work like that and her solo work really isn't your typical idol music. Plus she doesn't really act like an idol at all. She's just a normal acting girl from all I see of her. There's charm in that, but still... I have a feeling some of these rankings will change dramatically by the end. We're talking about over a MILLION potential votes. 

I think I've about decided who I want to vote for, but actually putting them in and pushing the button might take a little more time.

[almond]

08. Itano Tomomi

Let's try to make sense of this!

- Tomochin fangirls don't vote? Sure, they like Tomo, but why would they care about some election?
- Tomochin's bad guy character on Majisuka Gakuen backfired? She switched schools, while loyalty is valued in Japanese society?
- Media overkill? Singles, CMs, Fashion, Magazines, etc?
- Plot by Aki-P to make the Tomochin fans buy more CDs?

It's far more simple. That AKBingo palm reader said she would lose fans.

[boykun]

I know you vote for Yuko, mister.

[xdionysusx]

^ i thought that was a strategy from the management to get acchan voters to buy more singles...
it appear that that guy is some sort of deputy service man who going to deliver them

[Marui]

Surprised to see Yuko leading, or it is just a plot by Aki-P to tricking the fans to buy more CD? 

Just voted for Maeda through AKB48 application for iOS lol Just had to pay 315 yen for the monthly fee but I will remove it soon enough.
Wanted to buy a CD and vote for Acchan but dont know what to do with the CD, and my girlfriend is not happy with me liking ABK48 already  . Plus paying 315 yen is just cheaper than a 1600 yen CD lol
Not that my vote matters but still proud of myself  Will consider buying a CD to vote one more vote before too late.

[Meania]

08. Itano Tomomi

Let's try to make sense of this!

- Tomochin fangirls don't vote? Sure, they like Tomo, but why would they care about some election?
- Tomochin's bad guy character on Majisuka Gakuen backfired? She switched schools, while loyalty is valued in Japanese society?
- Media overkill? Singles, CMs, Fashion, Magazines, etc?
- Plot by Aki-P to make the Tomochin fans buy more CDs?

I thought that perhaps fans chose to vote for their other favourite members as she appears to be safe in a solo career. I mean, she's had a couple of singles and some digital ones, which seems to promise more in the future- her going down a couple of ranks probably won't effect her solo work too much. For some fans that might give votes to a few members... why have Tomochin solo and all over AKB48 things too, when you could use those votes to get less popular members into senbatsu or media senbatsu?

But yeah- these early reports could be fake to get people to buy more cd's!
Lots of things there to make fans want to buy/vote more:
- Yuko and Acchan are only 1000votes apart... their wotas will battle it out.
- Yuki stole Mariko's 3rd spot/jumped up a good few places? Rage! let's buy more!
- Jurina's place number is HIGHER than her own age? That's just not right.
- What on earth are some of these less popular girls doing placing higher than my front girls??
(.... not my opinions)
Though, I suppose things like that would happen with any results.... I felt like rambling about it anyway.

[boffyee]

where was the first announcement of the ranking?? in a event of team k or concert

There is some video??

[edsonmassao]

For the first time I will pay more attention to the Senbatsu Election!  Glad to know that Sasshiko and Akicha are in the media senbatsu, however Akicha don't have a comfortable position :S

Despite the apparition in various programs, Minegishi doesn't looks too popular among the fans...I would like to see her in a better classification!

Takamina in 4th place?  I think it is ok for her, better than the 6th place of the last year...

French Kiss boosted the Yukirin's popularity, doesn't it?  Very good for the queen of reaction xD

Very curious to see the final results...!

[Melchizadek]

"No wait, Tomo~mi needs my vote to try to get into the Media Girls

This.  Think of that Tomo~mi PB we are getting is she makes senbatsu!

Damn you, BarrieV!

 

[merrycury]

hope Acchan can back to the 1st rank

*finger cross*

[heatstone]

lol theres no middle result this yr
wondering hows the final result goona be this yr. really wish Yuka can stay in top 21

[elricfree]

Dunno why, but i want Acchan back to the first rank
But, it will be great if Yui can be the first

[frentzenwolf]

why they only have one report??
is it to let us heart attack???
XDDDDD

[mode107]

I was just wondering; anyone know who came first in last year's early election results?

[winner]

Aachan, and the gap was getting wider. That was until until assassin-Yuko jump-kicked her way in.

early: http://ameblo.jp/akihabara48/entry-10545804780.html
middle: http://ameblo.jp/akihabara48/entry-10552160794.html

"Nothing is true. Everything is permitted."

[SomethingWild]

I did some Google Trends research:

Blue = Acchan, Red = Yuko



Same chart, but focusing on the last 30 days:



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Blue = Yuki, Red = Mayu



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Top 10 from the preliminary results + cross reference chart (I did more than I'm posting for better results):



So, according to these results the Top 10 will be:

10. Kojima Haruna
09. Matsui Rena
08. Sashihara Rino
07. Takahashi Minami
06. Watanabe Mayu
05. Shinoda Mariko
04. Itano Tomomi
03. Kashiwagi Yuki
02. Maeda Atsuko
01. Oshima Yuko

Itano and Kashiwagi are really close. Itano's been more popular throughout the month, but Yuki made an insane leap forward on 24/05? 

[adsad]

Well, Yuko and Yukirin is peaked at 24-25/5 becuz that early result surprise.

Tomochin has a mobile promotion ad which begins at early May making her seen everywhere that there exists a mobile shop.

Acchan start appearing everywhere during this 2 weeks, have TV appearance, news or magazine covers released everyday.

If you continue research, Acchan is probably leading now.

(And if u compare between supposedly two top, one had all kind of media exposures everywhere, one had only 2-3 things during election time, good job Ohta)